An outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) at one of the largest egg-producing farms in the United States—specifically at Rose Acre Farms, the country’s second-largest egg producer, located in Seymour, Indiana—could have a significant impact on the market and drive up egg prices.
The outbreak is expected to cause up to a 20% increase in egg prices throughout the year, according to projections from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). This rise is primarily due to reduced supply, as infected birds must be culled and eggs produced at affected facilities destroyed to control the virus’s spread.

Avian flu, also known as avian influenza, poses a significant threat to the poultry industry, as it affects not only egg production but also poultry meat.
This outbreak adds to a series of cases detected at other farms across the country, further worsening the situation and raising concerns about the large-scale impact on the industry and consumers.
Authorities have implemented strict measures to contain the virus’s spread, working closely with the Indiana State Board of Animal Health and the state veterinarian to apply best practices to mitigate the risk of contagion to other birds. However, the risk of transmission remains high, particularly for migratory birds, backyard flocks, and commercial poultry.
In addition to the economic impact, it is important to note that the USDA and the CDC are closely monitoring the avian flu outbreak in Indiana to assess potential public health risks. So far, no human cases have been reported.
Regarding human cases, the CDC has recorded 67 confirmed infections across 10 states since April 2024. Most cases have been mild, and patients have fully recovered. However, one death was reported in Louisiana, involving a person over 65 with preexisting medical conditions. This remains the only fatal case to date.
A recent avian flu outbreak at another farm in California has raised concerns about a potential increase in egg prices in the United States. This outbreak, which includes the detection of the H5N9 strain alongside the more common H5N1, has led to the culling of approximately 119,000 birds in Merced County since December 2024.
Impact on the Egg Market
- Price Increase: Egg prices have already risen significantly, with a 36% increase in California due to this outbreak. Overall, the average price of a dozen eggs has reached alarming levels, affecting both consumers and businesses that rely on this staple.
- Shortages and Demand: Egg shortages have intensified due to the combination of this outbreak and high seasonal demand, particularly during the holidays. Since 2022, avian flu has killed over 108 million birds in the U.S., severely impacting supply.
- Additional Effects: The situation is further complicated by animal welfare laws, which have contributed to supply disruptions and price hikes. For example, prices at some stores have reached up to $7.00 for a dozen free-range eggs.
Outbreak Context
Avian flu spreads primarily through wild birds and can be carried onto farms by humans or vehicles. This latest outbreak adds to a series of incidents that have been described as one of the worst in the country’s history, with the virus affecting not only birds but also other animals like dairy cattle.
Experts warn that this situation could continue to impact egg prices and availability in the near future, posing challenges for consumers and the food industry at large.
Image: Infobae






